Systems and methods for providing a personalized exchange market

Abstract

The present invention relates to systems and methods for providing a personalized exchange market, and more specifically, to systems and methods for establishing personalized pledge agreements for uncertain future events or occurrences. In one embodiment, the invention includes a method including the steps of facilitating a pledge offer via a network, the pledge offer specifying an outcome of an uncertain future occurrence, the uncertain future occurrence being independently definable; facilitating an acceptance of the pledge offer over via the network, the acceptance forming a pledge agreement; determining the outcome; and facilitating performance of the pledge agreement based on the outcome.

1 . A method comprising:
 receiving a prediction regarding an outcome of a future event;   providing a payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs;   publishing the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs;   receiving a first market based price for a right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs;   facilitating for at least one additional market based price transfer of the right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs;   publishing a trend over time between the first market based price and the at least one additional market based price;   determining whether the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs; and   facilitating the payout amount if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs,   wherein the method is performed by computer executable instructions embodied in computer readable storage media.   
     
     
         2 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the receiving a prediction regarding an outcome of a future event comprises:
 receiving a prediction regarding an outcome of a future event, the prediction being independently definable by a market participant without requiring consensus from another individual.   
     
     
         3 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the receiving a prediction regarding an outcome of a future event comprises:
 receiving a prediction regarding an outcome of a future event related to at least one of passage of legislation, drug efficacy, patient issuance, patent pendency, patent infringement lawsuit volume, patent value, inflation amount, epidemic occurrence, whistleblower occurrence, climate measurement, treaty formation, population value, natural disaster occurrence, government decision, scientific breakthrough occurrence, fuel efficiency value, housing price value, election result, interest rate value, court decision outcome, new venture profitability value, raw ingredient demand amount, traffic value, precipitation value, health status of a person, engagement status of a person, list member, list ranking sequence, list ranking change, product sales volume, and wealth value of a person.   
     
     
         4 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the publishing the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs comprises:
 publishing the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs in association with related news and/or advertisement.   
     
     
         5 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the publishing the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs comprises:
 publishing the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs at a level of prominence that is fluctuatably determined based upon viewing volume of the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event.   
     
     
         6 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the facilitating for at least one additional market based price transfer of the right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs comprises:
 facilitating at any point up to the outcome of a future event transfer of the right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event actually occurs.   
     
     
         7 . The method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 rewarding an author of the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event at a predefined level of viewing volume of the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event.   
     
     
         8 . The method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 facilitating redemption of virtual profits earned for goods and/or services.   
     
     
         9 . The method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 establishing a mutual fund by grouping the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event with at least one additional prediction regarding an outcome of a different future event;   publishing the mutual fund composed of the prediction regarding an outcome of a future event and the at least one additional prediction regarding an outcome of a different future event;   receiving a first mutual fund market based price for ownership of an interest in the mutual fund;   facilitating for at least one additional mutual fund market based price transfer of the interest in the mutual fund; and   publishing a trend over time between the first mutual fund market based price and the at least one additional mutual fund market based price.   
     
     
         10 . A method comprising:
 receiving a prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient;   providing a payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed;   publishing the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed, and health record information of the particular patient;   receiving a first market based price for a right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed;   facilitating for at least one additional market based price transfer of the right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed;   publishing a trend over time between the first market based price and the at least one additional market based price;   determining whether the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed; and   facilitating the payout amount if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed,   wherein the method is performed by computer executable instructions embodied in computer readable storage media.   
     
     
         11 . The method of  claim 10 , wherein the receiving a prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient comprises:
 receiving a prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the prediction being independently definable by a healthcare provider without requiring consensus from another individual.   
     
     
         12 . The method of  claim 10 , wherein the receiving a prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient comprises:
 receiving a prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer.   
     
     
         13 . The method of  claim 10 , wherein the publishing the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed, and health record information of the particular patient comprises:
 publishing to selected healthcare providers and/or to healthcare providers of a selected specialty the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed, and health record information of the particular patient.   
     
     
         14 . The method of  claim 10 , wherein the publishing the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed, and health record information of the particular patient comprises:
 publishing the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction regarding a health condition and/or treatment outcome of a particular patient is confirmed, and privacy-protected health record information of the particular patient.   
     
     
         15 . The method of  claim 10 , further comprising:
 providing a possible course of treatment and/or patient advice based on the first market based price and/or the at least one additional market based price.   
     
     
         16 . A method comprising:
 receiving a prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer, the prediction being independently definable by a healthcare provider without requiring consensus from another individual;   providing a payout amount that is payable if the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed;   publishing to selected healthcare providers and/or to healthcare providers of a selected specialty the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer, the payout amount that is payable if the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed, and privacy-protected health record information of the particular patient;   receiving a first market based price for a right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed;   facilitating for at least one additional market based price transfer of the right to the payout amount that is payable if the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed;   publishing a trend over time between the first market based price and the at least one additional market based price;   providing a possible course of treatment and/or patient advice based on the first market based price and/or the at least one additional market based price;   determining whether the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed; and   facilitating the payout amount if the prediction that a particular patient has a certain disease and/or cancer is confirmed,   wherein the method is performed by computer executable instructions embodied in computer readable storage media.