Automatic artist and content breakout prediction

Abstract

Methods, systems and computer program products for using a selected cohort of content consumers to rate a media object is provided by identifying a media object, determining a first value, where the first value is equal to a number of content consumers who belong to a cohort and who have played the media object, determining a second value. The second value is equal to a total number of content consumers who played the media object. A rating is computed using the first value and the second value.

1 . A method of using a selected cohort of content consumers to rate a media object, comprising the steps of:
 identifying a media object;   determining a first value, wherein the first value is equal to a number of content consumers who belong to a cohort and who have played the media object;   determining a second value, wherein the second value is equal to a total number of content consumers who played the media object; and   computing a rating using the first value and the second value.   
     
     
         2 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the rating is calculated according to: 
       
         
           
             
               
                 rating 
                 = 
                 
                   
                     first 
                      
                     
                         
                     
                      
                     value 
                   
                   
                     
                       second 
                        
                       
                           
                       
                        
                       value 
                     
                     + 
                     
                       third 
                        
                       
                           
                       
                        
                       value 
                     
                   
                 
               
               , 
             
           
         
         wherein the third value is a constant used to adjust the rating to give weight to the popularity of the media object among the total number of content consumers. 
       
     
     
         3 . The method according to  claim 2 , wherein the third value is equal to 50. 
     
     
         4 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the media object is selected based on a number of plays of the media object. 
     
     
         5 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the media object is selected based on a release date of the media object. 
     
     
         6 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the rating is calculated according to: 
       
         
           
             
               
                 rating 
                 = 
                 
                   
                     
                       ( 
                       
                         first 
                          
                         
                             
                         
                          
                         value 
                       
                       ) 
                     
                     2 
                   
                   
                     
                       ( 
                       
                         
                           first 
                            
                           
                               
                           
                            
                           value 
                         
                         + 
                         x 
                       
                       ) 
                     
                     + 
                     
                       ( 
                       
                         
                           second 
                            
                           
                               
                           
                            
                           value 
                         
                         + 
                         y 
                       
                       ) 
                     
                   
                 
               
               , 
             
           
         
         wherein x is a constant used to weight the rating in favor of popularity among total users and y is a constant used to weight the rating in favor of popularity among the cohort. 
       
     
     
         7 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the cohort comprises content consumers within a predefined geographic region. 
     
     
         8 . The method according to  claim 1 , wherein the cohort comprises content consumers within a predefined demographic. 
     
     
         9 . A method of using a selected cohort of content consumers to rate a media object, comprising the steps of:
 identifying a media object;   determining a first value, wherein the first value is equal to a number of content consumers who belong to a cohort and who played the media object during a first time period;   determining a second value, wherein the second value is equal to a total number of content consumers who played the media object during a second time period;   computing a rating using the first value and the second value.   
     
     
         10 . The method according to  claim 9 , wherein the first time period is less than the second time period. 
     
     
         11 . The method according to  claim 10 , wherein the first time period is 1 month and the second time period is 1.5 months. 
     
     
         12 . The method according to  claim 9 , wherein the cohort comprises content consumers within a predefined geographic region. 
     
     
         13 . The method according to  claim 9 , wherein the cohort comprises content consumers within a predefined demographic. 
     
     
         14 . A system, comprising:
 a hardware processing unit configured to:
 identify a media object; 
 determine a first value, wherein the first value is equal to a number of content consumers who belong to a cohort and who played the media object during a first time period; 
 determine a second value, wherein the second value is equal to a total number of content consumers who played the media object during a second time period; 
 compute a rating using the first value and the second value. 
   
     
     
         15 . A non-transitory computer-readable storage medium storing a program for causing a computer to perform
 identifying a media object;   determining a first value, wherein the first value is equal to a number of content consumers who belong to a cohort and who played the media object during a first time period;   determining a second value, wherein the second value is equal to a total number of content consumers who played the media object during a second time period;   computing a rating using the first value and the second value.