Trend analysis and statistical process control using multitargeted screening assays

Abstract

Aspects of the present invention provide novel multi-targeted microbiological screening and monitoring methods having substantial utility for monitoring and control of microbial growth and contaminants, microbiological processes, predictive microbiology, and for exposure and risk assessment. Microbial markers shared by both target and index microbes are used in novel methods for microbial monitoring, monitoring of microbial performance potential, trend analysis, and statistical process control (SPC) in processes or systems that are receptive to a plurality of genetically distinct microbes.

1 . A method for process control with respect to a target microbe, comprising:
 a) receiving at least one test sample obtained during each of a plurality of time periods from a process or system receptive to a plurality of genetically distinct microbes;   b) testing the at least one test sample from each of the plurality of time periods for a presence or absence for each of a plurality of suitable markers of at least one target microbe to provide a set of test results for each time period, wherein at least one of the markers also detects at least one index microbe, other than the target microbe, potentially present in the sample and genetically distinct from the target microbe but positive for a subset of the plurality of tested markers;   c) calculating, for each set of test results. at least one mathematical index value relating the number of markers for which positive results are obtained to the total number of tested markers, wherein the mathematical index value is predictive of process failure, the presence or absence of the target microbe, or predictive of both process failure and presence or absence of the target microbe; and   d) initiating pre-emptive and/or remedial action in the process or system relating to the target microbe at a threshold index value indicative of process failure, presence of the target microbe, or indicative of both process failure and presence of the target microbe, wherein a method for process control with respect to the target microbe is afforded.   
     
     
         2 - 3 . (canceled) 
     
     
         4 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the index microbe is a microbe that is genetically distinct from the at least one target microbe, but is otherwise correlatable with the target microbe by virtue of at least one common property selected from the group consisting of: coordinate source association; coordinate growth condition response; indicator organism relationship; same family taxon; same genus taxon; same species taxon; same biotype; same serotype; same virulence group; common functional genes; common virulence factors; common enzymes and enzymatic pathway(s); common engineered genes or traits; common metabolites or by-products; coordinate sensitivity to antimicrobial agents or conditions, and same strain attribution. 
     
     
         5 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the samples are enriched prior to testing in b). 
     
     
         6 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the at least one mathematical index values determined in c) allows for normalizing the number of observed marker presence events over the number of samples taken. 
     
     
         7 . (canceled) 
     
     
         8 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein determining the at least one mathematical index value in c) further comprises weighting, for purposes of calculating the index value, the value of the presence of at least one of the markers relative to another. 
     
     
         9 . The method of  claim 8 , wherein the weighting is based on at least one common property between target and index microbes, wherein the index microbe is a microbe that is genetically distinct from the at least one target microbe, but is otherwise correlatable with the target microbe by virtue of at least one common property selected from the group consisting of: coordinate source association; coordinate growth condition response; indicator organism relationship; same family taxon; same genus taxon; same species taxon; same biotype; same serotype; same virulence group; common functional genes; common virulence factors; common enzymes and enzymatic pathway(s); common engineered genes or traits; common metabolites or by-products; coordinate sensitivity to antimicrobial agents or conditions, and same strain attribution. 
     
     
         10 . The method of  claim 1  wherein the at least one target microbe is considered present when a specific marker profile is determined to be present. 
     
     
         11 - 12 . (canceled) 
     
     
         13 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the at least one threshold mathematical index value is an upper confidence limit that is proportional to the standard deviation of the index values over an investigated time range. 
     
     
         14 . (canceled) 
     
     
         15 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the markers are selected from the group consisting of genetic markers, antigenic markers, metabolite and metabolite by-product markers, and combinations thereof. 
     
     
         16 . The method of  claim 15 , wherein the markers are selected from the group consisting of DNA markers, virulence factor genes, virulence factors or putative virulence factors, toxins, enzymes, proteins, macromolecules, metabolic byproducts, surface antigens, adhesion proteins, ribosomal gene markers, and combinations thereof. 
     
     
         17 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the number of markers tested is at least 5. 
     
     
         18 . The method of  claim 17 , wherein at least one marker comprises an antigen of a surface antigen protein of the target microbe, and at least 4 markers correspond to genetic markers of the target organism. 
     
     
         19 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the time periods are separated by a period selected from the group consisting of seconds, minutes, hours, days, weeks, months, years, and combinations thereof. 
     
     
         20 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the at least one target microbe is selected from the group consisting of pathogens, spoilage organisms, beneficial organisms, bioremedial organisms, indicator organisms, fermentation-related organisms, and combinations thereof. 
     
     
         21 . The method of  claim 20 , wherein the pathogen is characterized by at least one property selected from the group consisting of foodborne, waterborne, airborne, bloodborne, sexually transmitted, vectorborne, and zoonotic organism. 
     
     
         22 . The method of  claim 20 , wherein the pathogen is selected from the group consisting of bacterial, viral, fungal and parasitic microorganisms, and by-products of the preceding. 
     
     
         23 . The method of  claim 20 , wherein the pathogen is selected from the group consisting of bacterial, viral, parasitic, and fungal. 
     
     
         24 . The method of  claim 23 , wherein the pathogenic organism is  E. coli  O157:H7. 
     
     
         25 - 26 . (canceled) 
     
     
         27 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the tests are selected from the group consisting of immunoassays, ELISA assays, antigen-antibody based detection methods, ligand-antigen detection methods, nucleic acid amplification-based assays, PCR, multiplex PCR, nucleic acid hybridization-based assays, bio-sensor assays, immunostaining-microscopy-based assays, nucleic acid-array-based assays, DNA chip-based assays, dot blots, multi- and single-target lateral flow devices, bacteriophage-detection-based assays, microbiology-based assays, and chemical and biochemical assays for detection of compounds, microbial byproducts, metabolites, organic, and inorganic molecules associated with the at least one target microbe. 
     
     
         28 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the test sample is a composite sample comprised of a plurality of samples collected from different sources or locations within the process or system. 
     
     
         29 - 47 . (canceled) 
     
     
         48 . The method of  claim 1 , wherein the at least one threshold index value corresponds to a particular process interval selected from the group consisting of daily, weekly, monthly, seasonal, and process phase based intervals, and is predictive of a status of the process or system.