Mesoscale modeling

Abstract

A mesoscale modeling system and method that enables meteorologists to adjust forecasts to account for known biases of weather forecasting models and outputs high-resolution images consistent with the adjusted forecasts. The mesoscale modeling system and method may also use a weather forecasting model to forecast future weather events based on one or more adjustments provided by the meteorologists.

What is claimed is: 
     
         1 . A computer implemented method for enabling meteorologists to adjust forecast in real-time to account for known convective feedback biases of existing weather forecasting models using high resolution cell-based maps or images, comprising:
 receiving, at a graphical user interface for a user, a selection of a plurality of weather forecasting models and a time period;   combining the plurality of weather forecasting models;   generating forecasted weather conditions, based on combining the plurality of weather forecasting models, for the time period;   receiving, at the graphical user interface for the user, a selection of an additional mesoscale weather system;   applying the additional mesoscale weather system to the forecasted weather conditions to generate a forecasted mesoscale weather system, wherein the forecasted mesoscale weather system includes a plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system at a plurality of locations in a geographic area; and   generating for display the forecasted mesoscale weather system overlaid on a plurality of cells of a map or an image of the geographic area in a resolution such that the forecasted mesoscale weather system is depicted in the plurality of locations on the map or the image, and wherein each of the plurality of cells includes information indicative of a respective predicted intensity, of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system, at a respective predicted location of the plurality of locations.   
     
     
         2 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 receiving, based on a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells, a user selection adjusting one of the plurality of locations of the forecasted mesoscale weather system; and   in response to the user selection adjusting one of the plurality of locations of the forecasted mesoscale weather system, adjusting the plurality of locations corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         3 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 receiving, based on a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells, a user selection adjusting one of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system; and   in response to the user selection adjusting one of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system, adjusting the plurality of intensities corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         4 . The computer implemented method of  claim 3 , wherein the plurality of intensities comprises amounts of rain or snow predicted to fall in each of the plurality of cells of the map or the image of the geographic area. 
     
     
         5 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 receiving a user selection adjusting the time period; and   in response to the user selection adjusting the time period, adjusting the plurality of intensities corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         6 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , wherein applying the additional mesoscale weather system to the forecasted weather conditions comprises:
 adjusting an intensity of the additional mesoscale weather system; and   generating an updated predicted intensity of the forecasted mesoscale weather system based on the intensity.   
     
     
         7 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 receiving a user selection adjusting the map or the image; and   in response to the user selection adjusting the map or the image, adjusting the map or the image corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         8 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , combining the plurality of weather forecasting models comprises determining the predicted intensity of the forecasted mesoscale weather system by averaging intensities predicted by the plurality of weather forecasting models. 
     
     
         9 . The computer implemented method of  claim 8 , wherein averaging intensities predicted by the plurality of weather forecasting models comprises determining the plurality of locations of the forecasted mesoscale weather system by averaging locations predicted by the plurality of weather forecasting models. 
     
     
         10 . The computer implemented method of  claim 1 , further comprising:
 receiving a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells; and   generating the forecasted mesoscale weather system based on the user selection of the cell of the plurality of cells.   
     
     
         11 . A non-transitory, computer-readable medium for enabling meteorologists to adjust forecast in real-time to account for known convective feedback biases of existing weather forecasting models using high resolution cell-based maps or images comprising instructions that when executed by one or more processors causes operations, comprising:
 receiving, at a graphical user interface for a user, a selection of a plurality of weather forecasting models and a time period;   combining the plurality of weather forecasting models;   generating forecasted weather conditions, based on combining the plurality of weather forecasting models for the time period;   receiving, at the graphical user interface for the user, a selection of an additional mesoscale weather system;   applying the additional mesoscale weather system to the forecasted weather conditions to generate a forecasted mesoscale weather system, wherein the forecasted mesoscale weather system includes a plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system at a plurality of locations in a geographic area; and   generating for display the forecasted mesoscale weather system overlaid on a plurality of cells of a map or an image of the geographic area in a resolution such that the forecasted mesoscale weather system is depicted in the plurality of locations on the map or the image, and wherein each of the plurality of cells includes information indicative of a respective predicted intensity, of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system, at a respective predicted location of the plurality of locations.   
     
     
         12 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause operations comprising:
 receiving, based on a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells, a user selection adjusting one of the plurality of locations of the forecasted mesoscale weather system; and   in response to the user selection adjusting one of the plurality of locations of the forecasted rnesoscale weather system, adjusting the plurality of locations corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         13 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein he instructions further cause operations comprising:
 receiving, based on a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells, a user selection adjusting one of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system; and   in response to the user selection adjusting one of the plurality of intensities of the forecasted mesoscale weather system, adjusting the plurality of intensities corresponding to the forecasted rnesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         14 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein the plurality of intensities comprises amounts of rain or snow predicted to fall in each of the plurality of cells of the map or the image of the geographic area. 
     
     
         15 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , Wherein the instructions further cause operations comprising:
 receiving a user selection adjusting the time period; and   in response to the user selection adjusting the time period, adjusting the plurality of intensities corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         16 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein applying the selected additional mesoscale weather system to the forecasted weather conditions comprises:
 adjusting an intensity of the additional mesoscale weather system; and   generating an updated predicted intensity of the forecasted mesoscale weather system based on the intensity.   
     
     
         17 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause operations comprising:
 receiving a user selection adjusting the map or the image; and   in response to the user selection adjusting the map or the image, adjusting the map or the image corresponding to the forecasted mesoscale weather system.   
     
     
         18 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein combining the plurality of weather forecasting models comprises determining the predicted intensity of the forecasted mesoscale weather system by averaging intensities predicted by the plurality of weather forecasting models. 
     
     
         19 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 18 , wherein averaging intensities predicted by the weather forecasting models comprises determining the plurality of locations of the forecasted mesoscale weather system by averaging locations predicted by the weather forecasting models. 
     
     
         20 . The non-transitory, computer-readable medium of  claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause operations comprising:
 receiving a user selection of a cell of the plurality of cells; and   generating the forecasted mesoscale weather system based on the user selection of the cell of the plurality of cells.